Can You Beat FiveThirtyEight’s NFL Forecasts?

Can You Beat FiveThirtyEight’s NFL Forecasts?
Can you outsmart our forecasts? Make your picks using the sliders below. Our NFL forecasts are based on a simple algorithm called Elo ratings, which use only a few pieces of information to rate each team and project each game.

But beware: We’re asking you to make a probabilistic forecast for each matchup — and our game punishes overconfidence. For the full rules, read here. The margin of victory in each NFL game won’t affect your score.

Sign in using Google or Facebook to save your selections, and check back next week to see how well you did against FiveThirtyEight and everybody else playing the game.

Your picks
Your results
Leaderboards
Week 1
0/16 forecasts completed
✔
Thursday, Sept. 6
at 8:20 p.m.
” + game.team2 + “-logo
Atlanta
Away
” + game.team1 + “-logo
Philadelphia
Home
You’ll lose points if Atlanta wins.

You’ll gain points if Philadelphia wins.

✔
Sunday, Sept. 9
at 1 p.m.
” + game.team2 + “-logo
Buffalo
” + game.team1 + “-logo
Baltimore
You’ll lose points if Buffalo wins.

You’ll gain points if Baltimore wins.

✔
Sunday, Sept. 9
at 1 p.m.
” + game.team2 + “-logo
Cincinnati
” + game.team1 + “-logo
Indianapolis
You’ll lose points if Cincinnati wins.

You’ll gain points if Indianapolis wins.

✔
Sunday, Sept. 9
at 1 p.m.
” + game.team2 + “-logo
Houston
” + game.team1 + “-logo
New England
You’ll lose points if Houston wins.

You’ll gain points if New England wins.

✔
Sunday, Sept. 9
at 1 p.m.
” + game.team2 + “-logo
Jacksonville
” + game.team1 + “-logo
N.Y. Giants
You’ll lose points if Jacksonville wins.

You’ll gain points if the N.Y. Giants win.

✔
Sunday, Sept. 9
at 1 p.m.
” + game.team2 + “-logo
Pittsburgh
” + game.team1 + “-logo
Cleveland
You’ll lose points if Pittsburgh wins.

You’ll gain points if Cleveland wins.

✔
Sunday, Sept. 9
at 1 p.m.
” + game.team2 + “-logo
San Francisco
” + game.team1 + “-logo
Minnesota
You’ll lose points if San Francisco wins.

You’ll gain points if Minnesota wins.

✔
Sunday, Sept. 9
at 1 p.m.
” + game.team2 + “-logo
Tampa Bay
” + game.team1 + “-logo
New Orleans
You’ll lose points if Tampa Bay wins.

You’ll gain points if New Orleans wins.

✔
Sunday, Sept. 9
at 1 p.m.
” + game.team2 + “-logo
Tennessee
” + game.team1 + “-logo
Miami
You’ll lose points if Tennessee wins.

You’ll gain points if Miami wins.

✔
Sunday, Sept. 9
at 4:05 p.m.
” + game.team2 + “-logo
Kansas City
” + game.team1 + “-logo
L.A. Chargers
You’ll lose points if Kansas City wins.

You’ll gain points if the L.A. Chargers win.

✔
Sunday, Sept. 9
at 4:25 p.m.
” + game.team2 + “-logo
Dallas
” + game.team1 + “-logo
Carolina
You’ll lose points if Dallas wins.

You’ll gain points if Carolina wins.

✔
Sunday, Sept. 9
at 4:25 p.m.
” + game.team2 + “-logo
Seattle
” + game.team1 + “-logo
Denver
You’ll lose points if Seattle wins.

You’ll gain points if Denver wins.

✔
Sunday, Sept. 9
at 4:25 p.m.
” + game.team2 + “-logo
Washington
” + game.team1 + “-logo
Arizona
You’ll lose points if Washington wins.

You’ll gain points if Arizona wins.

✔
Sunday, Sept. 9
at 8:20 p.m.
” + game.team2 + “-logo
Chicago
” + game.team1 + “-logo
Green Bay
You’ll lose points if Chicago wins.

You’ll gain points if Green Bay wins.

✔
Monday, Sept. 10
at 7:10 p.m.
” + game.team2 + “-logo
N.Y. Jets
” + game.team1 + “-logo
Detroit
You’ll lose points if the N.Y. Jets win.

You’ll gain points if Detroit wins.

✔
Monday, Sept. 10
at 10:20 p.m.
” + game.team2 + “-logo
L.A. Rams
” + game.team1 + “-logo
Oakland
You’ll lose points if the L.A. Rams win.

You’ll gain points if Oakland wins.

Sign in to save your forecasts and check back Tuesday morning to see whether you beat FiveThirtyEight and how you stacked up against everyone else.

0/16
forecasts completed

FiveThirtyEight has 0.0 points.

You have 0.0 points.

Sign in to compete

Do you have questions about the game, see a problem or want to suggest an improvement? Email games@fivethirtyeight.com.

For code and data, see our GitHub repository.

By Jay Boice, Aaron Bycoffe and Gus Wezerek.

Source: https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2018-nfl-forecasting-game/

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