2018 NFL Predictions

2018 NFL Predictions
For the regular season and playoffs, updated after every game.
More NFL:Every team’s Elo historyCan you outsmart our forecasts?

Standings
Games
1651
NE-logoNew EnglandAFC East11.24.8+114.782%66%47%14%
1647
PHI-logoPhiladelphiaNFC East11.05.0+105.876%61%40%12%
1602
MIN-logoMinnesotaNFC North9.96.1+66.163%50%25%7%
1601
ATL-logoAtlantaNFC South9.96.1+66.759%39%23%8%
1596
PIT-logoPittsburghAFC North9.96.1+67.367%51%29%7%
1584
NO-logoNew OrleansNFC South9.26.8+43.449%30%17%5%
1571
KC-logoKansas CityAFC West9.56.5+52.058%41%22%5%
1550
CAR-logoCarolinaNFC South8.67.4+20.540%22%12%3%
1547
DAL-logoDallasNFC East8.87.2+27.143%24%13%3%
1545
SEA-logoSeattleNFC West8.97.1+30.548%37%16%4%
1545
LAC-logoL.A. ChargersAFC West9.07.0+34.751%33%17%4%
1535
BAL-logoBaltimoreAFC North8.77.3+25.648%31%14%3%
1535
JAX-logoJacksonvilleAFC South8.87.2+27.653%43%17%4%
1530
LAR-logoL.A. RamsNFC West8.27.8+5.639%28%12%3%
1524
DET-logoDetroitNFC North8.27.8+8.438%25%11%3%
1502
BUF-logoBuffaloAFC East8.08.0+0.536%16%9%2%
1496
TEN-logoTennesseeAFC South8.17.9+5.043%32%12%2%
1483
ARI-logoArizonaNFC West7.48.6-22.927%18%6%1%
1475
CIN-logoCincinnatiAFC North7.58.5-16.830%17%7%1%
1472
GB-logoGreen BayNFC North7.18.9-33.023%14%5%1%
1472
WSH-logoWashingtonNFC East7.28.8-29.322%10%5%1%
1469
TB-logoTampa BayNFC South6.89.2-41.118%9%4%<1%
1469
SF-logoSan FranciscoNFC West7.38.7-26.025%17%5%1%
1465
OAK-logoOaklandAFC West7.38.7-25.726%14%6%1%
1450
DEN-logoDenverAFC West7.09.0-34.223%12%5%<1%
1450
MIA-logoMiamiAFC East7.09.0-34.823%9%5%<1%
1444
CHI-logoChicagoNFC North6.69.4-48.019%11%4%<1%
1432
NYJ-logoN.Y. JetsAFC East6.99.1-40.121%8%4%<1%
1412
NYG-logoN.Y. GiantsNFC East5.810.2-76.910%5%2%<1%
1407
IND-logoIndianapolisAFC South6.39.7-61.519%13%3%<1%
1398
HOU-logoHoustonAFC South6.39.7-61.118%12%3%<1%
1302
CLE-logoClevelandAFC North3.812.2-149.93%1%<1%<1%
Forecast from
How this works: This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after every game. Our model uses Elo ratings (a measure of strength based on head-to-head results and quality of opponent) to calculate teams’ chances of winning their regular-season games and advancing to and through the playoffs. Full methodology »

Design and development by Jay Boice and Gus Wezerek. Statistical model by Nate Silver and Jay Boice.

Source: https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2018-nfl-predictions/

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